Is Newark’s Rivefront Stadium the Coors Field of the Atlantic League?

riverfront-stadium

Revolution Rumblings delved into the world of sabermetrics in May of last year and we learned that former Rev Travis Ezi was not only the best outfielder in the Atlantic League — he was one of the best outfielders period.

So that idea got the braniacs at this site thinking of other ideas. What other sabermetric formulas can be used to analyze the Atlantic League?

Here’s what the guy who got a C-minus in Algebra 2 borrowed from other geniuses — “Park Factor.” I’ll list the formula below and then attempt to explain it in Lehman’s terms.

park-factor

Basically, Park Factor is used to determine “how much a specific ballpark contributes to the offensive production of a team or player.” In the above formula, the numerator is runs scored at home + runs allowed at home divided by home games while the denominator is runs scored on the road + runs allowed on the road divided by road games.

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Playing the prediction game

nunez-cup

No Atlantic League team has signed a single player yet for the 2009 season.

Is that really a reason to hold off on predicting how the season will play out, though?

Hardly.

So here are five things that will take place in the Atlantic League this year, according to yours truly.

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Game 132: Long Island 12, York 7

It wasn’t all that long ago that games against Long Island were a welcome sight for the York Revolution.

Now, that feeling has changed. And the Revs are undoubtedly happy they won’t be seeing the Ducks anytime soon. 

Long Island roughed up York’s Corey Thurman Sunday afternoon at Citibank Park in the Ducks’ 12-7 victory. York (35-27) was 12-3 against Long Island (36-27) at one point before losing four of five to close out the season series with the Ducks. The Revs also saw their lead in the Freedom Division shrink to three games thanks to Lancster’s 17-6 win over Bridgeport.

Thurman (11-7) had his roughest outing since July on Sunday. The former Toronto Blue Jay (pictured) surrendered 10 hits and seven earned runs in four innings. He was hit hard early and Long Island captured a 5-0 lead after just two innings of play.

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Game 130: Long Island 11, York 4; Game 131: York 6, Long Island 2

On the day the Atlantic League set its new single day mark for attendance, the York Revolution moved a couple more steps toward the postseason.

York split a day-night doubleheader with Long Island, blowing a two-run lead in the eighth inning of an 11-4 loss in Game 1 before rallying for a 6-2 win in the nightcap. The Revs (35-26) moved their magic number to six and hold a four-game lead over second-place Lancaster in the Freedom Division.

York and Long Island also played in front of a combined 13,263 at Citibank Park in Central Islip, N.Y., which was a fraction of the 30,097 fans who visited Atlantic League ballparks Saturday.

In Game 1, Kennard Jones started things off with the first leadoff homer in Revolution franchise history. Jason Aspito (pictured) also went deep in the first inning to tie Nate Espy’s single-season mark for home runs (22). David Gil (five innings, two earned runs) made the early lead hold up, as he brought a one-hitter into the fifth inning.

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Game 123: Long Island 2, York 1; Game 124: Long Island 7, York 6

Through all the offensive outbursts, through all the pitching gems and through all the thrilling second-half victories, one vital cog of the York Revolution has played the role of savior many times.

The bullpen.

The guys who throw the gas. The men with ice water running through their veins. They’ve been the ones shortening games and bailing the Revs out of jams for weeks. But even a dominant group has off-days. Sunday just happened to be that day.

York’s bullpen, which entered the day with a 3.04 ERA in the last 35 games, coughed up one-run leads in both games of a doubleheader against Long Island. The Ducks captured a 2-1 decision in Game 1 and a 7-6 win in the nightcap before an announced crowd of 4,795 at Sovereign Bank Stadium.

Travis Phelps, who hadn’t allowed a run in 12 appearances since an outing July 29, surrendered a two-run double in the sixth inning of Game 1. Then Franklin Nunez blew his second save in eight chances in Game 2 — allowing an RBI single in the eighth inning. Both games were scheduled for seven innings.

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Game 122: York 9, Long Island 2

Maybe it’s a lack of team chemistry. Maybe it’s the long drive down from just outside of New York City. Maybe it’s just one of those quirky things in sports.

But no matter which way you slice it, it doesn’t change the truth.

Long Island simply can’t win a game at Sovereign Bank Stadium.

York’s offense came alive behind a solid outing from Rolando Viera and the Revolution garnered a 9-2 win over the Ducks Friday night before an announced crowd of 4,225.

The Ducks (29-25, 61-63) have now lost all eight games they have played at Sovereign Bank Stadium this year and they only have two more games left to avoid going 0-for-the-season in York. Long Island is also just 3-12 against the Revs (30-22, 60-62) overall on the year.

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Game 121: York 7, Long Island 4

Just when you thought you’d seen it all at your local Atlantic League ballpark, the unthinkable unfolds before your eyes.

The York Revolution broke its team record for consecutive hits in an inning for the second time this week Thursday night against Long Island. The Revs rifled eight straight base hits in the second inning and rallied from a four-run deficit in the process on the way to a 7-4 victory before an announced crowd of 3,547 at Sovereign Bank Stadium.

The seven-run inning was so monstrous that cleanup man Jason Aspito made the first and second outs in the inning. York (29-22, 59-62) pasted five doubles in the frame — and a season-high six for the game — while breaking the previous record for consecutive hits set Monday at Bridgeport (seven).

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