Is Newark’s Rivefront Stadium the Coors Field of the Atlantic League?

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Revolution Rumblings delved into the world of sabermetrics in May of last year and we learned that former Rev Travis Ezi was not only the best outfielder in the Atlantic League — he was one of the best outfielders period.

So that idea got the braniacs at this site thinking of other ideas. What other sabermetric formulas can be used to analyze the Atlantic League?

Here’s what the guy who got a C-minus in Algebra 2 borrowed from other geniuses — “Park Factor.” I’ll list the formula below and then attempt to explain it in Lehman’s terms.

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Basically, Park Factor is used to determine “how much a specific ballpark contributes to the offensive production of a team or player.” In the above formula, the numerator is runs scored at home + runs allowed at home divided by home games while the denominator is runs scored on the road + runs allowed on the road divided by road games.

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Who do the Revs bring back?

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The topic comes up every year when the off-season months start to fade into spring: How many players from last year’s team do the York Revolution bring back?

It’s hard to say, really. Lancaster obviously is a great example of how this situation can backfire. The ‘Stormers relied heavily on their nucleus from the 2006 championship team in ’07 and that decision eventually ended up getting manager Frank Klebe fired.

So what does York do for 2009? Under Atlantic League guidelines the Revs have until Feb. 26 to negotiate with players who finished last year on the Revolution roster. That means your Matt Dryers, Corey Thurmans, Dan Folis (pictured above) and Jason Aspitos.

After that, players are free to negotiate with other teams. But it’s very likely that we’ll see a few familiar faces re-signed before that deadline.

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Playing the prediction game

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No Atlantic League team has signed a single player yet for the 2009 season.

Is that really a reason to hold off on predicting how the season will play out, though?

Hardly.

So here are five things that will take place in the Atlantic League this year, according to yours truly.

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Revolution will hold spring training in York

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It’s official: the York Revolution will hold its spring training in York in 2009.

The Revs announced Thursday afternoon that they will not travel to the TigerTown Complex in Lakeland, Fla. — as they have the last two years. Instead, York will stay at home during April for spring training along with Lancaster and Somerset. York and Lancaster are owned by Opening Day Partners.

The move makes sense for a bevy of reasons. 1) Newark and Somerset have both trained up north without a hitch the last couple of years (coincidentally, the two teams account for the ’07 and ’08 Atlantic League titles); 2) Holding spring training in York reduces a slew of costs; 3) This move will give Revolution fans an early look in on their hometown team.

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Game 140: York 8, Lancaster 7

LANCASTER — On most days, Clipper Magazine Stadium lays claim to one of the most electrifying atmospheres in minor league baseball.

The cowbells jingle. The chants of “Everybody hits,” reverberate throughout the stadium. It seems every fan in attendance is fully invested in the game. 

But after the York Revolution delivered perhaps the knockout blow of the season to the Barnstormers’ glass jaw, an unfamiliar sound flooded the Clip — silence.

York pulled off another comeback Sunday against its Route 30 rival, scoring four runs in the top of the ninth inning and surviving a bases-loaded situation in the bottom half for an 8-7 win before an announced crowd of 6,737. Matt Padgett, who was 0-for-3 with a walk and three strikeouts coming into the ninth, launched a two-run homer over the short porch in right field that proved to be the decisive hit.

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Game 138: York 8, Lancaster 1; Game 139: York 12, Lancaster 5

The York Revolution’s players and its coaching staff won’t have to worry about creating momentum for the playoffs.

The Revs are already functioning like a well-oiled machine.

That was evident Saturday as the Revs took both ends of the first Route 30, day-night doubleheader in history. York won 8-1 in the noon game at Sovereign Bank Stadium and then brought its surging offense across the Susquehanna River to Clipper Magazine Stadium. The Revs torched Lancaster pitching in the nightcap, securing a 12-5 victory.

The victories mean that no matter what happens on Sunday, York (40-29, 70-69) will finish with a .500 overall record this year. But in order to win the Community Cup (pictured) and the 2008 War of the Roses outright, the Revs will need a win Sunday. A 10-10 tie would result in last year’s War of the Roses winner (Lancaster) retaining the cup and York currently holds a 10-9 advantage in the series.

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Dryer leaves game with shin injury

York Revolution slugger Matt Dryer left the first game of Saturday’s Route 30 doubleheader after fouling a ball off his shin in his first at-bat of the game.

Dryer, who hit a team-record nine homers in August, was replaced by Kenny Perez in the lineup and his status is uncertain. The Revs went on to claim an 8-1 victory over Lancaster.

Adam Gladstone, the Revolution’s director of baseball operations, said Dryer’s shin is sore but did not have further information on the extent of the injury.

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